Prediction
Colombia has generally been strong at home, but their recent form has been inconsistent, with only 2 wins in their last 6 matches. Ecuador, on the other hand, has shown impressive defensive performances, and their form has improved recently. They have scored in each of their last 4 matches, with 2 wins and 2 draws, demonstrating solid form, especially their dominant 4-0 win over Bolivia at home.
From a statistical perspective, Colombia has a slightly higher overall win rate compared to Ecuador, but it’s worth noting that Ecuador has a better historical win rate in head-to-head matchups, especially in their recent encounters where they have remained unbeaten. With the bookmakers setting Colombia’s handicap at -0.5, -1.0, Ecuador seems to have the upper hand.
Pick: Ecuador +0.5, +1.0 handicap