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Prediction
As a team that made it to the finals last season, the Mavericks have been a bit of a disappointment this season, losing some games they shouldn’t have. The Maverick added wing players such as Thompson and Marshall in the offseason, and also recalled Dinwiddie, in an attempt to improve height and shooting ability on the front line. From the content of the game, the Maverick’s shooting ability is indeed improved, but the whole team averaged nearly 37 three-point shots, only hit 13, three-point shooting rate of only 35.2%, also seems to be not enough, but also can be more. The Mavericks have been ruthlessly defensive this season, ranking 6th in the league in defensive efficiency, so it’s still their offense that’s dragging them down and not strong enough.
Thompson has become the Maverick’s third-leading scorer on the team with 14.2 points per game, but his offensive efficiency has not been optimal, so the Maverick has sacrificed a lot of shots on him, affecting the whole team’s offense. Doncic this season offensive efficiency decline is more obvious, but it is Irving is struggling to support the team. The Maverick’s best piece of data this season is turnovers, 11.2 turnovers per game is the 3rd fewest in the league, and the 11.9% turnover rate per game is almost the best in the league. This team doesn’t turn the ball over, it just doesn’t convert well on offense, scoring just 15.8 points per game off of opponent turnovers. Additionally, Doncic recently injured his groin and I’m afraid there will be some repercussions.
The Warriors have rotated so many players this season that the physicality of the starters is not a problem. Curry is averaging just 26.8 minutes per game, but he’s efficiently contributing 19.7 points and only hitting key shots. The Warriors don’t have any players averaging 20 points per game on their entire team, but they do have five players averaging double-digit scoring on their entire team, and even more waiting on the bench in the form of Bojamski, who is averaging 9.9 points per game.
Green has drastically improved his offensive efficiency this season, shooting 43 percent from three-point range and averaging 1.3 three-pointers per game, giving the team great support. Warriors this season, offensive and defensive good, offensive and defensive efficiency are in the league’s top 4, the average opponent to take advantage of the turnovers scored is as high as 22 points, ranking high in the league’s 1. Facing the slippery Maverick, the Warriors have enough confidence.
Comprehensively, the Warriors occupy a certain advantage in this game. Their new season rotation has done a great job, and the veteran Curry has plenty of time to rest. The Maverick team, although the introduction of Thompson, but the overall offensive ability has not been improved, but rather affect the efficiency. Coupled with the fact that the Warriors are so familiar with Thompson, look for the Warriors to beat the Mavericks at home.
Picks
Golden State Warriors -2.5(-110) at bet365