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Prediction
Northampton’s recent performances in the EFL have been quite impressive, especially with a rotated squad, but still managed to win both matches, thanks to the outstanding performance of the young talent in the team, Neo Dobson. Not only did the 2006-born prodigy score twice against Leicester City’s reserves, but his technical ability and understanding of the game is significantly better than many English prospects of his age.
However, Northampton’s performance in the FA Cup has been underwhelming, despite the fact that they put considerable emphasis on the cup. Against Kittanning, Northampton had 24 shots on goal but only managed to take the lead through a goal kick, and twice through counter-attacks due to defensive lapses. The match reflected Northampton’s lack of effective breakthroughs against a crowded defense, and the team’s stability in defense has been declining lately, especially after the selection of Tsonev in the goalkeeper position.
On the other hand, Burton Albion have recently adjusted their tactical system, especially the position of center backs Wankoten and Sweeney, which is aimed at strengthening the defense at the expense of a certain attacking vitality. Previously, Burton tried to reduce the pressure at the back by pressing forward through the center backs, but this did not bring the expected results, but led to a series of defensive errors, and the team also fell into a period of consecutive defeats in the doldrums. Currently, Burton’s midfield bulwark Charlie Webster is still not performing well and the team is facing challenges in controlling the midfield.
However, in an effort to improve the attack, Burton’s left back Amer has been given more of an attacking role, which has provided the team with another option going forward, albeit with limited success. It is worth noting that Burton invested more of their starters in the EFL earlier this season, but had to shift their focus to the league due to poor league results. However, with the recent improvement in form, Burton won and managed to advance in the FA Cup, showing that the team is gradually getting back to form.
Considering that Burton’s next match against Wigan Athletic is postponed, it means they can put more energy into this match. For Burton, a win is crucial to get out of the group in the EFL. In contrast, Northampton just need to remain unbeaten in this match to meet their target. Although Northampton have the edge in terms of history between the two teams, considering Burton’s current attitude to the game and Northampton’s recent fluctuating form, I’m going to look for Burton to go undefeated with a exact score of 0-0, 0-1.
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Burton Money Line +125 at Draft Kings